I would like to take a moment to nationally thank Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay for outscoring Detroit last week 21-0 nothing in the second half of last week's Monday Night game and, more importantly covering the spread of -11.5.
Now, let's take a look at this week's matchup.
Monday Night Week 3, with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook:
Philadelphia at Dallas
Line: Dallas (-3.5)
Gut Feeling: Dallas will play their first home game of the season tonight and the atmosphere in Jerry World is going to be INSANE. I have a greater appreciation for the energy a crowd can bring to a stadium and how much of a game changer it can be. Dak Prescott has all of his top weapons healthy and at his disposal including Zeke Elliot, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, and Tony Pollard. However, it is not going to be easy against a stout Philadelphia defense. They have given up a combined 23 points through their first two games so far. Having said this, the weakest part of Philly's defense is their secondary and pass defense.
On the other side of the ball for them you have Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders trying to pick up a huge statement win. They theoretically shouldn't have a hard time putting points on the board against a subpar Dallas defense, but that's assuming that Philly has playmakers on the outside. I simply don't trust Hurts and Co. to keep up with Dallas's ability to put points on the board.
By the Numbers:
--> Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus the Philadelphia .
--> The home team in this series is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings
--> Dallas is 1-7 in their last 8 games as favorites
--> The under is 9-3 in Philadelphia's last 12 games
I highly recommend buying a point to get the spread at Dallas -2.5 because 3 is such a pivotal number in football gambling. I have seen two completely different sides of Philadelphia throughout the first two weeks, and I am not confident to put my money in their hands. Dallas, coming off a win in Los Angeles, makes more sense to me. I am not going to touch the point total, but I am leaning the under. I just cannot bet the under with how often Dak Prescott and this offense get into the shootouts.
Official pick: Dallas -3.5
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