It’s time to break into the baseball picking business. I have my debut during the World Series
Its to break back into the baseball betting picks business. It began with the World Series last year where I went 4-1 respectively. Now after some recent success in the MLB DFS field, I
decided to write a quick lay out article on the slate today. I’m writing this the night before so the lineups have not been released yet.
The picks may change based on weather and lineup changes before first pitch. The goal is try to get cornerstones to build your lineup around.
This Memorial Day, honor the fallen troops, watch baseball, grill burgers, and get some time in the sun. Hopefully we can help make some money for you too.
Here are the picks, with prices coming via our partners at DraftKings.
Pitchers:
Studs: Walker Buehler 9,200:
Theres no Walker Buehler’s day off on Memorial Day. Walker Buehler (6-1) will take the mound for the Dodgers
against the Pirates on Monday. The 27-year-old righty has a 2.91 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in nine starts this season with 42 K and 14 BB in 52.2 innings. The Pirates hit .221 as a team and are terrible against right handed pitching.
This is a bargain of a price for Buehler.
He provides a pretty safe floor with the Dodgers being a -300 favorite. You can lock with him with confidence.
Drew Rasmussen: 10,100:
Rasmussen has been excellent in his second year. He is 5-1 with a 2:68 ERA, and has put up some impressive advanced stats- 3.11 xFIP, 24% K rate and 28% fly ball rate. The Rangers are
coming off a hot weekend against Oakland. Rasmussen will provide a far greater challenge.
While Texas has some pop they boost a juicy 24% K rate against right handed pitching. Which may set Rasmussen up for a huge fantasy day.
Value: (Early Slate) Ethan Small 4,000:
Memorial Day is one of the few days the working man can watch day time baseball. Brewers fans should be excited with their six overall prospect taking the hill. Small has excelled in
Triple-A this season with a 1.88 ERA in 38.1 innings and has striked out 49 batters. Small won’t blow anyone away with his low to mid 90’s fastball. But he has a plus grade change up and
boost an excellent spin rate.
Chicago will send five guys in the lineup with strikeout rates north
of 20%. The wind is blowing out in Wrigley and Chicago is decent get lefties so there is some risk carried here. However, Small has pretty sizeable upside at minimum price. He will allow you to play Coors on the early slate.
Stud Infielder: Rafeal Devers 6,000:
Devers has a career high .258 ISO this season. He has hit 8 home runs in the month of May. He is facing Baltimore right hander Tyler Wells who has 4.35 ERA and has .436 opponent slugging
percentage this season. Boston will be a popular stack throughout the slate, but Devers is someone you have to slot in the lineup. Devers is hitting .340 against right handed pitching and
10 of his 11 homers have been against right handers this season. Devers has a hefty salary, but you can put him in with confidence.
Value: Luis Guilliore 3,300 2B/3B: 3,300
The Mets young infielder is batting .400 in the month of May. Fredde is vulnerable against left handed bats. It’s nice to be able to save salary on a guy that will be batting lead off for a potent
Mets offense.
Outfielders: Value Andrew McCutchen 3,300 (Main Slate):
You may roll your eyes at this one when you look at McCutchen’s 234 average. But McCutchen gets a pretty good matchup to get out of his season slump. McCutchen has routinely mashed left handed pitching throughout his career. Smyly is allowing a .538 slugging percentage and .287 opponents batting average to righties this season. The one thing McCutchen has done well
this year, is mash sinkers. McCutchen is hitting .317 on sinkers he has hit in play this year.
Smyly throws the sinker 47% of the time. We are getting good splits, pitch values, and regression at play. Milwaukee is an underrated stack in the late slate. McCutchen is a cheap
productive piece to put in your lineup.
Stud: Mookie Betts: 6,000
This selection doesn’t need much explaining. Betts has owned the month of May. Over the last month, Betts is hitting .353 and has 11 homeruns and 26 RBI’s. The Dodgers will be the highest owned stack and Betts may be the highest owned player, but it’s really tough to keep him out of
your lineup. Now he is facing pitcher with a 4.45 xFIP and 16% K rate. On top of that Betts mashes cutters off right handed pitchers, and that’s exactly what he is facing. This is a great
matchup for Betts and he is not cooling off anytime soon.
Comments